Bridges: Out of the Mess, Into the Meshnet (with LayerZero)

web3 with a16z crypto

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24,603 subscribers

Ditambah three tahun yang lalu

Kandungan disediakan oleh Andreessen Horowitz, A16z crypto, Sonal Chokshi, and Chris Dixon. Semua kandungan podcast termasuk episod, grafik dan perihalan podcast dimuat naik dan disediakan terus oleh Andreessen Horowitz, A16z crypto, Sonal Chokshi, and Chris Dixon atau rakan kongsi platform podcast mereka. Jika anda percaya seseorang menggunakan karya berhak cipta anda tanpa kebenaran anda, anda boleh mengikuti proses yang digariskan di sini https://ms.player.fm/legal.

Young and Profiting with Hala Taha (Entrepreneurship, Sales, Marketing)

1
Dave Ramsey: 5 Stages to Build and Scale a Business That Lasts | Entrepreneurship | E344 1:03:38

16 days ago1:03:38

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1:03:38

Too many entrepreneurs get stuck on the business treadmill, hustling nonstop, unable to scale, and unknowingly stalling their growth. That’s where Dave Ramsey began. After crashing into $3 million in debt, he rebuilt from scratch, turning a small radio program into a national show with millions of listeners. With over three decades of experience in entrepreneurship, business growth, and content creation, he knows what it takes to build a lasting business. In this episode, Dave reveals the six drivers of long-term success, the five key stages of startup growth, and how he balances life as an entrepreneur and a content creator. In this episode, Hala and Dave will discuss: (00:00) Introduction (00:23) The Core Principles of Financial Freedom (05:42) Adapting to Change as a Content Creator (09:22) Balancing Content Creation and Entrepreneurship (12:34) How to Create a Clear Path in Business (15:19) The Truth About Starting a Business Today (18:22) The Six Drivers of Business Success (26:20) Shifting From Tactical to Strategic Thinking (29:44) The Five Stages of Business Growth (41:10) Leading with Care, Clarity, and Accountability (47:10) Identifying the Right Leadership Skills (48:35) Starting a Media Business as an Entrepreneur Dave Ramsey is a personal finance expert, radio personality, bestselling author, and the founder and CEO of Ramsey Solutions. Over the past three decades, he has built a legacy of helping millions achieve financial freedom. As the host of The Ramsey Show , Dave reaches more than 18 million listeners each week. He is the author of eight national bestselling books. His latest, Build a Business You Love , helps entrepreneurs navigate growth and overcome challenges at every stage. Sponsored By: Shopify - Sign up for a one-dollar-per-month trial period at youngandprofiting.co/shopify OpenPhone: Streamline and scale your customer communications with OpenPhone. Get 20% off your first 6 months at openphone.com/profiting Airbnb - Find yourself a co-host at airbnb.com/host Indeed - Get a $75 sponsored job credit at indeed.com/profiting RobinHood - Receive your 3% boost on annual IRA contributions, sign up at robinhood.com/gold Factor - Get 50% off your first box plus free shipping at factormeals.com/factorpodcast Rakuten - Save while shopping at rakuten.com Microsoft Teams - Stop paying for tools. Get everything you need, for free at aka.ms/profiting LinkedIn Marketing Solutions - Get a $100 credit on your next campaign at linkedin.com/profiting Resources Mentioned: Dave’s Book, Build a Business You Love: bit.ly/BuildaBusinessYouLove Dave’s Website: ramseysolutions.com Active Deals - youngandprofiting.com/deals Key YAP Links Reviews - ratethispodcast.com/yap Youtube - youtube.com/c/YoungandProfiting LinkedIn - linkedin.com/in/htaha/ Instagram - instagram.com/yapwithhala/ Social + Podcast Services: yapmedia.com Transcripts - youngandprofiting.com/episodes-new Entrepreneurship, Entrepreneurship Podcast, Business, Business Podcast, Self Improvement, Self-Improvement, Personal Development, Starting a Business, Strategy, Investing, Sales, Selling, Psychology, Productivity, Entrepreneurs, AI, Artificial Intelligence, Technology, Marketing, Negotiation, Money, Finance, Side Hustle, Mental Health, Career, Leadership, Mindset, Health, Growth Mindset, Side Hustle, Passive Income, Online Business, Solopreneur, Networking.…

about a year ago 41:43

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Welcome to web3 with a16z. Today we explore the messy secrets of blockchain bridges. These cross-chain connectors are the go-betweens in today's multichain world, but their short history has been a checkered one, with prominent projects succumbing to major hacks and other hijinks.

So we've brought on one of the builders who knows this world best to help disentangle the messiness. That’s Bryan Pellegrino, cofounder and CEO of LayerZero Labs, maker of a popular blockchain interoperability protocol. In this episode, Bryan delivers a crash course on the evolution of bridges, including the ups and downs of various approaches. You'll also learn about the technology's inner workings, its applications, and how it fits in with ongoing efforts to scale blockchains.

Joining is a16z crypto general partner Ali Yahya, who is also an expert in this area; plus me, your cohost, Robert Hackett. The first voice you'll hear after mine is Bryan's, then Ali's.

As always, none of the content should be taken as tax, business, legal or investment advice. See a16z.com/disclosures for more important information, including a link to a list of our investments.

71 episod

web3 with a16z crypto

Bridges: Out of the Mess, Into the Meshnet (with LayerZero)

web3 with a16z crypto

24,603 subscribers

published about a year ago

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MP3•Laman utama episod

Joining is a16z crypto general partner Ali Yahya, who is also an expert in this area; plus me, your cohost, Robert Hackett. The first voice you'll hear after mine is Bryan's, then Ali's.

As always, none of the content should be taken as tax, business, legal or investment advice. See a16z.com/disclosures for more important information, including a link to a list of our investments.

71 episod

All episodes

web3 with a16z crypto

1
AI and the End of Apps (with NEAR) 1:02:18

2 hours ago1:02:18

1:02:18

with @ilblackdragon @rhhackett Welcome to web3 with a16z . I’m your host, Robert Hackett. In this episode, we're diving deep into one of the most intriguing intersections in tech today: AI and crypto. To help us unpack it, we're joined by Illia Polosukhin — co-founder of the crypto protocol NEAR and co-author of the groundbreaking 2017 "transformers" paper that kicked off the current AI boom. Ilia has been early to some of the biggest recent tech trends, and today he brings us a rare, panoramic view of the tech industry’s cutting edge. Together we explore what the phrase “user-owned AI” really means; why the so-called agentic internet — that is, a world where your AI assistant talks directly to services on your behalf — might replace the very notion of websites and apps as we know them; and much more. Resources: Attention is all you need by Vaswani et al. (Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems 2017) As a reminder, none of the content should be taken as investment, business, legal, or tax advice; please see a16z.com/disclosures for more important information, including a link to a list of our investments.…

web3 with a16z crypto

1
All About Airdrops 1:02:00

9 days ago1:02:00

1:02:00

with @eddylazzarin @DarenMatsuoka @ahall_research @rhhackett Welcome to web3 with a16z . I’m Robert Hackett. Today we’re talking about one of the most familiar — and most misunderstood — mechanics in crypto: the airdrop. We’ll explore the history of airdrops in and outside crypto, the challenges of incentive design, and learnings from airdrops to date. We’ll also answer questions like how do you avoid Sybil attacks and professional airdrop farming? Should your drop be big or small, one-time or ongoing? And what happens when AI agents enter the mix? To break it all down, we’re joined by: a16z crypto’s Chief Technology Officer Eddy Lazzarin; a16z crypto Data Science Partner Daren Matsuoka; and a16z crypto Research Consultant Andrew Hall, who is also a Professor of Political Economics at Stanford’s Graduate School of Business. Whether you're planning a token launch, looking for token rewards, or just curious why airdrops have become such a powerful mechanism in crypto — this episode is for you. Timestamps: (0:00) introduction (1:42) what is an airdrop? (6:27) tokens vs traditional equity (8:49) incentive design challenges (15:18) origins from credit cards to crypto (17:14) Optimism airdrop case study (23:09) NFT market learnings (28:32) Sybil resistance and verifying humanity (33:04) Uniswap airdrop and beyond (36:35) AI agents and the future of airdrops (40:33) connection to performance reviews (45:30) token vesting and volatility (49:08) experimentation vs. best practices (59:20) Batesian mimicry Resources: Research into how airdrops can increase user retention [Optimism Collective forum; January 2025] Effects of Optimism airdrop 2 on governance participation [a16z crypto; June 2024] One From Many: Visa and the Rise of Chaordic Organization by Dee Hock [Berrett-Koehler Publishers; October 2005] How the '9-Box' talent review system can make or break your career [Forbes; March 2024] Batesian mimicry [American Museum of Natural History; July 2023] As a reminder, none of the content should be taken as investment, business, legal, or tax advice. Please see a16z.com/disclosures for more important information, including a link to a list of our investments.…

web3 with a16z crypto

1
Congestion Pricing? Economics, Theory, Reality 57:31

18 days ago57:31

57:31

with @mostrovs @skominers @rhhackett Welcome to web3 with a16z . I’m your host Robert Hackett, and today we’re talking about congestion pricing — an area of mechanism design that’s aimed at alleviating something everyone hates: traffic. Now you may have heard this term recently since New York adopted its own version of congestion pricing at the beginning of the year. This is the first program of its kind in the U.S. — and it’s got supporters and detractors. We’ll talk about that, and we’re also going to talk about much more. In the first part of today’s episode we’ll trace the history of the economic ideas that got us here. In the middle, we’ll dig deeper into the details of putting congestion pricing into practice, plus technological alternatives. And in the final part, we’ll explore parallels to — and implications for — crypto networks. Our guests are Michael Ostrovsky, a Stanford Economics Professor who specializes in this area and who has done research on congestion pricing in New York. We’re also joined by a16z crypto Research Partner Scott Kominers, who is a Professor of Business Administration at Harvard Business School where he teaches market design and entrepreneurship. Timestamps: (0:00) introduction (1:51) NYC proposal history (3:38) economic theory of congestion pricing (9:15) implementation: challenges and solutions (26:00) technological alternatives and drones (29:49) overnight delivery and other possibilities (35:20) carpooling and how to encourage it (39:34) congestion pricing and crypto (47:59) lessons for blockchains Resources: Michael Ostrovsky's paper on congestion pricing in New York City (from before the launch, foreseeing its issues): https://web.stanford.edu/~ost/papers/nyc.pdf Michael Ostrovsky's thread that went viral on X shortly after the debut of congestion pricing in New York, discussing the post-launch evidence, his team's data collection efforts, and the link between observed data and predictions in the above paper: https://x.com/mostrovs/status/1876798157595476420 Two of Ostrovsky's earlier theoretical papers on the topic: (1) https://web.stanford.edu/~ost/papers/complementarity.pdf , (2) https://web.stanford.edu/~ost/papers/sdc.pdf Economist William Vickrey's influential paper on congestion pricing: Vickrey, W. S. (1969). Congestion theory and transport investment. American Economic Review 59 (2), 251–260. https://matthewturner.org/ec2410/readings/Vickrey_AER_1969.pdf As a reminder, none of the content should be taken as tax, business, legal, or investment advice. Please see a16z.com/disclosures for more important information, including a link to a list of our investments.…

web3 with a16z crypto

1
You Better Have a 30-Year Goal (with Eigen Labs) 1:15:09

22 days ago1:15:09

1:15:09

Welcome to web3 with a16z . Today we’re talking about a founder’s journey from academia to the tech startup world — and the many lessons he’s learned along the way. We dig into big ideas, like what people mean when they call blockchains "truth machines." We also share practical advice and insights, like how to go about deciding on your life’s work; what you can do to keep increasing — and compounding — your leverage; plus, how a bungled interview question can change your life. Today’s episode features a conversation between Eigen Labs Founder Sreeram Kannan, formerly an associate professor at the University of Washington where he led its Blockchain Lab, and a16z crypto General Partner Ali Yahya. This conversation originally took place in the fall at our CSX crypto startup accelerator in New York. If you like what you hear, subscribe to the a16z crypto YouTube channel for this video and many others like it. Timestamps: (0:00) introduction (1:25) open innovation (4:08) evolution of blockchain technologies (12:34) journey from academia (16:00) one of the best life lessons (19:40) impact of network information theory (24:31) activation energy and moving earth (29:13) building a trust network (36:20) blockchains as commitment engines (45:17) Q&A (45:57) the power of narrative (52:19) restaking and the memetic sphere (56:01) two approaches to problem solving (59:53) startup focus and exponential games (1:04:56) professor coins (1:09:03) win-win or no deal (01:13:59) conclusion As a reminder, none of the content should be taken as tax, business, legal, or investment advice. Please see a16z.com/disclosures for more important information, including a link to a list of our investments.…

web3 with a16z crypto

1
Blockchain Performance, Demystified 30:18

5 weeks ago30:18

30:18

with @SashaSpiegelman @Tim_Roughgarden @rhhackett Welcome to web3 with a16z. Today we’re talking about the ins and outs of blockchain performance. How does the “speed” of one chain compare to another? What are the tricky ways that people talk about important metrics like throughput and latency? And how do design choices across things like consensus and execution result in performance tradeoffs? Our guest today is Aptos Labs’ Head of Research Sasha Spiegelman, who is helping build out and develop technologies he originally co-created at Meta. We’re also joined by a16z crypto Head of Research and Columbia University professor Tim Roughgarden, who specializes in the intersection of computer science and economics, which is fitting as we dig into technical details throughout. Timestamps: (0:00) introduction (2:48) understanding blockchain metrics (7:59) consensus protocols: PBFT and beyond (14:56) innovations from Meta’s Novi to Aptos (20:51) optimizing blockchain execution (with BlockSTM) (25:23) tech debate: dynamic vs. static parallelism (27:55) open source and the prisoner’s dilemma (29:15) conclusion *** As a reminder, none of the content should be taken as tax, business, legal, or investment advice. Please see a16z.com/disclosures for more important information, including a link to a list of our investments.…

web3 with a16z crypto

1
Inside the Biggest Heist 44:12

6 weeks ago44:12

44:12

with @mg_486662 and @rhhackett Welcome to web3 with a16z. I’m Robert Hackett and today we’re talking about what is potentially the biggest heist of all time — a hack of the Dubai-based crypto exchange ByBit which took place last month for a total of $1.5 billion and which the Federal Bureau of Investigation has attributed to a North Korean state-sponsored hacking group. In this episode, we cover details of how the attack went down, the state of crypto security across different types of wallets and organizations, and what you can do to help protect yourself from similar attacks. We’re joined by Matt Gleason, a security expert at a16z crypto, whose excellent write-up of the incident you can find below. We’ve also included an FBI PSA about the hack and other useful links as well. Resources: Breaking down the ByBit hack: Lessons to learn from crypto’s largest heist [a16z crypto; March 2025] North Korea responsible for $1.5 billion ByBit hack [FBI; February 2025] Learn THIS so you don't lose $50M | Multi-sig (Safe) Hardware Wallet Verification [Patrick Collins on YouTube; January 2025] As a reminder, none of the content should be taken as investment, business, legal, or tax advice. Please see a16z.com/disclosures for more important information, including a link to a list of our investments.…

web3 with a16z crypto

1
Creativity Across Industries, with Uniswap & KidSuper 35:22

7 weeks ago35:22

35:22

with @haydenzadams @kidsuper @smc90 This episode involves a special mix of guests: Hayden Adams, founder and CEO of Uniswap Labs , and inventor of the Uniswap Protocol a leader in decentralized finance (DeFi); they recently announced Unichain; and Colm Dillane, the multimedia artist behind fashion brand KidSuper , CFDA award winner who has his own Warhol Factory-like creative studio and space; Dillane started out selling t-shirts in his highschool cafeteria, and then went on to present his collection at Paris Fashion week — and has also done creative campaigns for iconic brands from Louis Vuitton and Mercedes Benz to Puma and Converse ...in conversation with editor in chief Sonal Chokshi. The conversation originally took place at our Founder Summit (October 2024) but is more relevant than ever as the crypto industry focuses on mainstream applications and users . It covers: industry jargon, to making technology not just more broadly available but more culturally and socially understood the power of naming, including the origin story behind the unicorn and Unisocks and more the difference between marketing vs. spectacle the power of early community and what it means to expand to new users vs "sell out” drops -- “airdrops” in crypto; drops in fashion (a la Supreme), and just product launches in general We also touch on some questions and issues around open source, including forking and copying -- good or bad? -- and whether a collective can actually do good design. The theme throughout is about innovating vs. stagnating -- learning from different industries and places; trying (unexpected) new things, even when there may not be a clear business case up front, and much more. As a reminder: None of the following should be taken as business, investment, legal, or tax advice; please see a16z.com/disclosures for more important information.…

web3 with a16z crypto

1
Where AI x Crypto Converge 40:50

8 weeks ago40:50

40:50

Welcome to web3 with a16z, today we’re running a special episode about the intersection of AI and crypto. Our guests are a16z crypto Founder and Managing Partner Chris Dixon & a16z Growth General Partner David George. They discuss the broken economics of the internet, new models for creative people, how to think through the first-, second- and third-order effects of big platform shifts, and more. Today’s episode is a crossover from a16z’s AI Revolution conversation series — and it’s especially timely as the paperback edition of Chris Dixon’s bestselling book Read Write Own goes to print. Check out the show notes for links to those and more. Watch the video here Read the transcript here See more from the AI Revolution conversation series here Check out Chris Dixon's book Read Write Own here As a reminder, none of the content should be taken as investment, business, legal, or tax advice. Please see a16z.com/disclosures for more important information, including a link to a list of our investments.…

web3 with a16z crypto

1
Why blockchains need privacy 40:54

11 weeks ago40:54

40:54

with @1HowardWu @SuccinctJT @rhhackett Welcome to web3 with a16z. Today’s show is all about privacy, why it matters, and how to achieve it technically onchain. It's fair to say that many blockchains today are quite… revealing. But that openness and transparency doesn’t work for everything — who would want anyone to have full-on X-Ray vision into your finances? That’s one reason why there’s been a growing appreciation for — and trend toward — more blockchain privacy. Our guest today argues that there are many other reasons you might want some secrecy too, including a whole host of onchain applications and uses that only become feasible when you have a notion of privacy. That guest is Provable Cofounder and CEO Howard Wu who helped invent the protocols behind and build Aleo, a privacy-focused blockchain network. Wu joins a16z crypto Research Partner Justin Thaler, who is also a computer scientist at Georgetown University (as well as the brains behind the cutting-edge, open source zkVM Jolt ), plus me, your host, Robert Hackett. The first voice you’ll hear is mine, then Howard’s, then Justin’s. As a reminder, none of the content should be taken as investment, business, legal, or tax advice. Please see a16z.com/disclosures for more important information, including a link to a list of our investments.…

web3 with a16z crypto

1
How This Foodie Founder Is Revamping Restaurants 1:00:03

12 weeks ago1:00:03

1:00:03

with @benleventhal @AriannaSimpson Welcome to web3 with a16z. How many of you are regulars at a favorite cafe, bar, or dinner spot? Probably a lot of you — but if you’re not, well, our guest today aims to make you one. This episode features Ben Leventhal — the founder and CEO of BlackBird, and formerly the founder of Resy and Eater. In it, he shares his journey as a serial entrepreneur in conversation with a16z crypto General Partner Arianna Simpson. Ben shares hard-won lessons learned in company-building, including navigating in wartime; the difference between measuring vs feeling when it comes to defining success; and more. Today’s conversation originally took place in the fall at our CSX Crypto Startup Accelerator in New York. We're currently accepting applications for our next cohort in the spring in San Francisco. Visit a16zcrypto.com/csx for more information and to apply. As a reminder, none of the content should be taken as investment, business, legal, or tax advice. Please see a16z.com/disclosures for more important information, including a link to a list of our investments.…

web3 with a16z crypto

1
Social Media Secrets: How to Build Your Presence 41:20

13 weeks ago41:20

41:20

with @0xgaut @ishverduzco @rhhackett Welcome to web3 with a16z. Today we’re talking about how to make social media work for you, rather than overwhelming you. Whether you’re a startup founder, creator, avid doomscroller, or longtime lurker, this show has tips and tactics you can use to attract attention, build a following, and level up your online presence. In this episode, we cover what to do and what not to do, how much of your authentic self to bring to the table vs. merely playing to the algorithms, turning your interests and obsessions into viral hits, and what standup comedy has to do with the art of posting. Our guest today is Gauthier Le Meur, aka Gaut, a meme-maker with a cult following who also happens to be the cofounder and chief operating officer of Alongside, a DeFi project that creates investible crypto market indices. Joining him is the man behind our handles, a16z crypto Social Lead Ish Verduzco, as well as me, your host, Robert Hackett. Resources Social for startup founders: A practical guide to building an online presence by Ish Verduzco [a16z crypto, August 2024] How to build a social presence in web3 and beyond [video] How to 10x on Twitter (without getting lucky) [@ishverduzco on X, March 2021] 24 Prompts to Get Over Writer's Block in 2024 by Ish Verduzco [ The Creator Blueprint , January 2024] As a reminder, none of the content should be taken as investment, business, legal, or tax advice. Please see a16z.com/disclosures for more important information, including a link to a list of our investments.…

web3 with a16z crypto

1
Designing Beloved Brands 36:46

15 weeks ago36:46

36:46

Welcome to web3 with a16z . Today's episode is all about design, creativity, and taste-making. Our special guest is Jason Mayden, the chief design officer of Jordan Brand at Nike — that's Jordan as in former NBA superstar Michael Jordan. In his role, Mayden is responsible for the look and feel of iconic products, like Air Jordan sneakers and related apparel. In this episode, Mayden speaks with Chris Lyons, a16z crypto's president of web3 media, about the interdisciplinary nature of industrial design, the role of humans in an AI world, what makes fashion and food alike, and how to build a brand, whether you’re in crypto, sportswear, or another field. This conversation originally took place at a16z crypto's Founders Summit in the fall of 2024. Be sure to subscribe to the a16z crypto Youtube channel where you can listen to more from that event, plus many more thought-provoking talks and other resources. As a reminder, none of the content should be taken as investment, business, legal, or tax advice; please see a16z.com/disclosures for more important information, including a link to a list of our investments.…

web3 with a16z crypto

1
Trends for 2025 (part 2): AI x Crypto - From Agents in Games & DePIN to Proof of Personhood and More 40:05

17 weeks ago40:05

40:05

with @carrawu @eddylazzarin @0xkarmacoma and @smc90 @rhhackett Welcome to our special end-of-year episodes -- which also look ahead to 2025 -- covering our annual Big Ideas lists , where various a16z crypto team members share what they are personally excited about. (You can see the firmwide list, also including all the trends of the crypto team, here .) This episode is part 2 of 2 -- but you don't have to listen to them in any particular order -- covering the intersection of crypto & AI: agents that have their own crypto wallets -- and also AI agents in games; DePin/ decentralized physical infrastructure, like energy grids; and more; proof of personhood, and why having a unique ID matters in a world of deepfakes, bots, scams and more is needed with proliferating AI; decentralized, truly autonomous, chatbots (using TEEs or trusted execution environment). Covering each of these -- and coming from the investing, engineering, and other teams -- are: Carra Wu, Eddy Lazzarin, and Karma (aka Daniel Reynaud); in conversation with hosts Sonal Chokshi and Robert Hackett, who also share some commentary at the top. These are just a few of the 14 trends we shared; you can check out the full list at a16zcrypto.com/bigideas. Also be sure to check out part 1, which covers the trends of stablecoins, app stores, infrastructure, and user experience. As a reminder, none of the content is investment, business, legal, or tax advice; please see a16z.com/disclosures for more important information -- including a link to a list of our investments.…

web3 with a16z crypto

1
Trends for 2025 (part 1): Stablecoins, App Stores, UX, and More 33:52

17 weeks ago33:52

33:52

with @sambroner @meigga @darenmatsuoka @jneu_net @chrislyons and @rhhackett @smc90 Welcome to our special end-of-year episodes -- which also look ahead to 2025 -- covering our annual Big Ideas lists , where various a16z crypto team members share what they are personally excited about. (You can see the firmwide list, also including all the trends of the crypto team, here .) This episode is part 1 of 2 -- but you don't have to listen to them in any particular order -- covering the trends and themes of: stablecoins, payments, and where the early adopters will come from; app store distribution, curation, and discovery; where the next crypto users will come from, turning passive holders into active users; how builders improve, and better choose, infrastructure; and simplifying user experience. Covering each of these -- and coming from the investing, go-to-market, data science, research, and media teams are: Sam Broner, Maggie Hsu, Daren Matsuoka, Joachim Neu, and Chris Lyons; in conversation with hosts Sonal Chokshi and Robert Hackett. (Stay tuned until the end for some of our meta-commentary.) These are just 5 of the 14 trends we shared; you can check out the full list at a16zcrypto.com/bigideas. Also be sure to check out part 2, which covers all the trends at the intersection of crypto and AI. As a reminder, none of the content is investment, business, legal, or tax advice; please see a16z.com/disclosures for more important information -- including a link to a list of our investments.…

web3 with a16z crypto

1
Prediction Markets and Beyond 1:48:05

21 weeks ago1:48:05

1:48:05

with @atabarrok @skominers @smc90 We've heard a lot about the premise and the promise of prediction markets for a long time, but they finally hit the main stage with the most recent election. So what worked (and didn't) this time? Are they better than pollsters, journalists, domain experts, superforecasters? So in this conversation, we tease apart the hype from the reality of prediction markets, from the recent election to market foundations... going more deeply into the how, why, and where these markets work. We also discuss the design challenges and opportunities, including implications for builders throughout. And we also cover other information aggregation mechanisms -- from peer prediction to others -- given that prediction markets are part of a broader category of information-elicitation and information-aggregation mechanisms. Where do (and don't) blockchain and crypto technologies come in -- and what specific features (decentralization, transparency, real-time, open source, etc.) matter most, and in what contexts? Finally, we discuss applications for prediction and decision markets -- things we could do right away to in the near-to distant future -- touching on everything from corporate decisions and scientific replication to trends like AI, DeSci, futarchy/ governance, and more? Our special expert guests are Alex Tabarrok, professor of economics at George Mason University and Chair in Economics at the Mercatus Center; and Scott Duke Kominers, research partner at a16z crypto, and professor at Harvard Business School -- both in conversation with Sonal Chokshi. RESOURCES (from links to research mentioned to more on the topics discussed) The Use of Knowledge in Society by Friedrich Hayek (American Economic Review, 1945) Everything is priced in by rsd99 (r/wallstreetbets, 2019) Idea Futures (aka prediction markets, information markets) by Robin Hanson (1996) Auctions: The Social Construction of Value by Charles Smith Social value of public information by Stephen Morris and Hyun Song Shin (American Economic Review, December 2002) Using prediction markets to estimate the reproducibility of scientific research by Anna Dreber, Thomas Pfeiffer, Johan Almenberg, Siri Isaksson, Brad Wilson, Yiling Chen, Brian Nosek, and Magnus Johannesson (Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (November 2015) A solution to the single-question crowd wisdom problem by Dražen Prelec, Sebastian Seung, and John McCoy (Nature, January 2017) Targeting high ability entrepreneurs using community information: Mechanism design in the field by Reshmaan Hussam, Natalia Rigol, and Benjamin Roth (American Economic Review, March 2022) Information aggregation mechanisms: concept, design, and implementation for a sales forecasting problem by Charles Plott and Kay-Yut Chen, Hewlett Packard Laboratories (March 2002) If I had a million [on deciding to dump the CEO or not] by Robin Hanson (2008) Futarchy: Vote values, but bet beliefs by Robin Hanson (2013) From prediction markets to info finance by Vitalik Buterin (November 2024) Composability is innovation by Linda Xie (June 2021) Composability is to software as compounding interest is to finance by Chris Dixon (October 2021) resources & research on DAOs , a16z crypto…

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