24 subscribers
Pergi ke luar talian dengan aplikasi Player FM !
Podcast Berbaloi untuk Didengar
DITAJA


1 Pushing Past Stagnation & Business Plateaus 30:21
RBS 146: Why Dave Ramsey's 8% Retirement Withdrawal Is So Dangerous (Hint: Sequence of Returns Risk)
Manage episode 430515368 series 3437124
This is a follow-up to my episode on Dave Ramsey's belief that retirees can start with an 8% withdrawal rate, adjust the amount each year by inflation, and be perfectly fine in retirement. The problem that Dave seems to have overlooked is what is known as sequence of returns risk.
In his analysis, he uses average market returns and average inflation. But nearly 30 years ago Bill Bengen debunked this approach in a 1994 paper. The problem is that two retirees can enjoy the same average returns and inflation yet have two very different results. How?
Sequence of returns. If one retiree enjoys strong markets and low inflation in the first decade of retirement, their financial results may indeed support a higher initial withdrawal rate. In contrast, if the second retiree suffers through bad markets and high inflation during the first decade, they could run out of money using an 8% withdrawal rate in as little as 10 years.
Join the Newsletter. It's Free:
https://robberger.com/newsletter/?utm...
207 episod
RBS 146: Why Dave Ramsey's 8% Retirement Withdrawal Is So Dangerous (Hint: Sequence of Returns Risk)
Manage episode 430515368 series 3437124
This is a follow-up to my episode on Dave Ramsey's belief that retirees can start with an 8% withdrawal rate, adjust the amount each year by inflation, and be perfectly fine in retirement. The problem that Dave seems to have overlooked is what is known as sequence of returns risk.
In his analysis, he uses average market returns and average inflation. But nearly 30 years ago Bill Bengen debunked this approach in a 1994 paper. The problem is that two retirees can enjoy the same average returns and inflation yet have two very different results. How?
Sequence of returns. If one retiree enjoys strong markets and low inflation in the first decade of retirement, their financial results may indeed support a higher initial withdrawal rate. In contrast, if the second retiree suffers through bad markets and high inflation during the first decade, they could run out of money using an 8% withdrawal rate in as little as 10 years.
Join the Newsletter. It's Free:
https://robberger.com/newsletter/?utm...
207 episod
Semua episod
×
1 RBS 207: Should We Do a Roth Conversion Now? (FQF) 34:07

1 RBS 206: Is Now a Good Time to Start Investing? (FQF) 18:54

1 RBS 205: A Smarter Way to Model TIPS Ladders in Retirement Planning Software 17:10

1 RBS 204: Savings Account vs Bond Fund (FQF) 21:34

1 RBS 203: Traditional vs Roth 401k: The Optimal Strategy 11:55

1 RBS 202: Could Fake Inflation Data Destroy the Value of TIPS? (FQF) 26:36

1 RBS 201: Here's When Social Security Runs Out of Money 17:07

1 RBS 200: 9 Retirement Planning Mistakes You May Be Making 18:41

1 RBS 199: Should You Build a TIPS Ladder in Retirement? (FQF) 28:15

1 RBS 198: 3 Financial Apps Worth Paying For in Retirement (FQF) 27:33

1 RBS 197: 7 Golden Rules of Retirement Withdrawal Strategies 25:32

1 RBS 196: Are Dividends Guaranteed Income? (FQF) 23:15

1 RBS 195: How to Invest During Economic Chaos: Tariffs, DOGE & Deficit Concerns 15:27

1 RBS 194: How to Hire A Financial Advisor (FQF) 26:30

1 RBS 193: My Portfolio Update And Changes to the Investment Tracking Spreadsheet (March 2025) 18:51

1 RBS 177: Is a 100% Stock Portfolio in Retirement Best? (FQF) 20:36

1 RBS 176: Retirement Planning With A Younger Spouse (Five Question Friday) 20:46

1 RBS 175: Pralana vs Boldin: How Two Popular Retirement Planning Tools Compare 45:24


1 RBS 173: Lump Sum vs Pension--What is the 6% Rule (Five Question Friday) 20:34

1 RBS 172: Vanguard's $40M Class Action Settlement: Here's Your Potential Payout 10:29

1 RBS 171: The Optimal Order to Fund Retirement Accounts 11:53

1 RBS 170: The Pros and Cons of Building a TIPS Ladder for Retirement Income 16:52

1 RBS 169: What Is The True Cost of a 1% AUM Investment Fee? 13:28

1 RBS 168: Vanguard Is Selling Your Retirement Plan (@#$@!!) 10:17

1 RBS 166: Fidelity Hacked--Here's How to Protect Your Accounts 11:45

1 RBS 165: Taxes and the 4% Rule: Tax-deferred vs. Roth vs. Taxable 14:56

1 RBS 164: S&P 500 Index Concentration at 50-Year High | What Should Investors Do? 15:32

1 RBS 163: How to Estimate Future Returns in Retirement 29:01

1 RBS 192: Should You Reduce Your Stock Exposure for Today's Market Valuations: 60/40 vs 40/60 17:16

1 RBS 191: The Bond Funds I Use To Protect My Retirement Portfolio (FQF) 27:00

1 RBS 190: Warren Buffett Just Dumped Berkshire's S&P 500 Index Funds. Should we? 10:17

1 RBS 189: These Fidelity Funds Beat a Vanguard 3-Fund Portfolio (FQF) 35:07

1 RBS 188: ProjectionLab Review (w/ Updates and Promo Code) 27:32

1 RBS 186: A Simple Way to Leave Your Financial Advisor to Invest On Your Own Without Fear (FQF) 27:09

1 RBS 185: Are Investment Banks Worth the High Fees? FQF 21:48

1 RBS 184: 13 Must-Do Financial Steps To Take Five Years Before You Retire 18:14

1 RBS 183: 2025 Annual Portfolio Review Checklist 21:13

1 RBS 182: The Case Against After-Tax Asset Allocation (FQF) 25:07

1 RBS 181: Is The New Safe Withdrawal Rate 3.7%? 23:48

1 RBS 180: 9 Questions I Get Asked Almost Every Day About Investing 36:44

1 RBS 179: Should We Wait for a Market Crash Before Investing? (FQF) 24:46

1 RBS 178: Boldin vs. Pralana vs. ProjectionLab: Chance of Success Comparison 16:08
Selamat datang ke Player FM
Player FM mengimbas laman-laman web bagi podcast berkualiti tinggi untuk anda nikmati sekarang. Ia merupakan aplikasi podcast terbaik dan berfungsi untuk Android, iPhone, dan web. Daftar untuk melaraskan langganan merentasi peranti.