"Anything Can Happen" is a Myth

The Human Behavior Podcast

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This week, we're debunking the myth that "anything can happen."
In today's episode, we'll explore how adopting this mindset can increase uncertainty and cognitive load—especially in high-risk environments—and how it might set us up for failure. Instead of believing that "anything can happen," we'll focus on reducing uncertainty by deepening our understanding of human behavior and utilizing practical tools like game theory, probability, and Bayes’ theorem.

Join us as we dive into why strategic thinking, modeled through games, is essential for real-life decision-making. We'll discuss how you can leverage both the knowns and unknowns in human interactions to predict behavior more effectively, minimize ambiguity, and ultimately make better, more informed decisions. Whether you're involved in law enforcement training, making everyday choices, or viewing human behavior as a strategic game, this episode is packed with insights to help you think sharper and be better prepared for whatever comes your way.

Thank you so much for tuning in! We hope you enjoy the episode. Don’t forget to check out our Patreon channel for additional content and subscriber-only episodes. If you enjoy the podcast, please consider leaving us a review and, more importantly, sharing it with a friend.

Thank you for your time, and remember: Training Changes Behavior!

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1. Myth of Anything Can Happen (00:00:00)

2. The Significance of Games (00:06:49)

3. [Ad] Cold Case Western Australia (00:11:25)

4. (Cont.) The Significance of Games (00:12:14)

5. Games in Cognitive Development (00:17:13)

6. Predicting Behavior With Game Theory (00:23:24)

7. Bayesian Thinking and Probability Theory (00:28:30)

8. Balancing Knowns and Unknowns in Decision-Making (00:41:18)

9. Navigating Knowns and Unknowns in Decision-Making (00:48:41)

10. Navigating Decision-Making Through Game Theory (00:56:17)