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Kandungan disediakan oleh Justin Robert Young. Semua kandungan podcast termasuk episod, grafik dan perihalan podcast dimuat naik dan disediakan terus oleh Justin Robert Young atau rakan kongsi platform podcast mereka. Jika anda percaya seseorang menggunakan karya berhak cipta anda tanpa kebenaran anda, anda boleh mengikuti proses yang digariskan di sini https://ms.player.fm/legal.
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Should We Ever Trust Polls Again? (with Carl Allen)

1:11:43
 
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Manage episode 450386805 series 94100
Kandungan disediakan oleh Justin Robert Young. Semua kandungan podcast termasuk episod, grafik dan perihalan podcast dimuat naik dan disediakan terus oleh Justin Robert Young atau rakan kongsi platform podcast mereka. Jika anda percaya seseorang menggunakan karya berhak cipta anda tanpa kebenaran anda, anda boleh mengikuti proses yang digariskan di sini https://ms.player.fm/legal.

Things polling get right in 2024:

* Trump had a chance to win the popular vote (he did)

* Trump had an advantage in the Sun Belt but the races in the Rust Belt would be closer (true, Trump still won them all)

* Ticket splitting is real and could save Democrats from a Senate demolition (it did)

But beyond that… we have some real questions.

Carl Allen believed Kamala Harris was a favorite to win the electoral college. Together we go through the results and find lessons big and small.


This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe
  continue reading

853 episod

Artwork
iconKongsi
 
Manage episode 450386805 series 94100
Kandungan disediakan oleh Justin Robert Young. Semua kandungan podcast termasuk episod, grafik dan perihalan podcast dimuat naik dan disediakan terus oleh Justin Robert Young atau rakan kongsi platform podcast mereka. Jika anda percaya seseorang menggunakan karya berhak cipta anda tanpa kebenaran anda, anda boleh mengikuti proses yang digariskan di sini https://ms.player.fm/legal.

Things polling get right in 2024:

* Trump had a chance to win the popular vote (he did)

* Trump had an advantage in the Sun Belt but the races in the Rust Belt would be closer (true, Trump still won them all)

* Ticket splitting is real and could save Democrats from a Senate demolition (it did)

But beyond that… we have some real questions.

Carl Allen believed Kamala Harris was a favorite to win the electoral college. Together we go through the results and find lessons big and small.


This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe
  continue reading

853 episod

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