Short Term Future Outlook For Commodity Prices - MIP Markets with Shawn Hackett

Moving Iron Podcast

Summary In this episode of Moving Iron Podcast, Casey Seymour and Sean Hackett discuss the current state of the commodity markets, focusing on the impacts of weather, geopolitical factors, and the upcoming political landscape. They analyze the recent downturn in commodity prices, the effects of dry weather on crop production, and the implications of potential trade wars and tariffs. The conversation also touches on how the market typically reacts to elections and the uncertainty surrounding the upcoming presidential election. Takeaways Commodity prices have seen a significant decline recently. Dry weather in the Midwest is accelerating harvests. China's fiscal policy is causing confusion in the markets. Brazil is experiencing its slowest planting pace since 1971. Rains in Brazil may not lead to a significant pattern change. Wheat prices are affected by the Russia-Ukraine situation. Political changes can lead to short-term market volatility. A Trump presidency may lead to a tariff-led policy. Kamala Harris's presidency could be more favorable for agriculture. Markets tend to rally after elections due to optimism. Chapters 00:00 Commodity Market Overview 05:08 Weather Impacts on Crop Production 09:49 Geopolitical Factors Affecting Commodities 15:04 Political Landscape and Market Reactions