033 | 2024美国大选懒人包 A Guide to the 2024 Presidential Election

美轮美换 The American Roulette

【聊了什么】

如果你刚刚开始关注大选，你的精神健康应该比美轮美换的几位主播要好一些。在大选前夕，我们帮你梳理了这场大选的关键时间点和重要议题：从拜登的意外退选到哈里斯的临危受命，从经济表现的党派差异到移民政策的困境，每个议题都折射出美国社会的深层分裂。

在摇摆州选情胶着、社会撕裂加剧的背景下，这场选举是否会重新定义美国政治？经济数据与民众感受之间的巨大鸿沟该如何弥合？移民政策的两难困境能否找到平衡点？当两党政治生态日益分化，社会撕裂愈发明显，美国的民主制度将面临怎样的挑战？

【有奖竞猜】

大选进入倒计时，你对最终结果的预测是什么呢？填写表单告诉我们你认为谁将胜出，猜中即有机会参与抽奖，赢取网站会员，阅读我们对美国政治和选举的深度报道。若你能精准预测国会两院及摇摆州的结果，更可以跳过抽奖，直接获得美轮美换年度会员资格。 竞猜问卷 → https://forms.office.com/r/KC7ncPhMAf

【支持我们】

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欢迎在看理想订阅收听《美国大选与世界转向》节目： https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372

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【时间轴】

00:01:12 考前突击：为什么我们需要关注这场选举

00:09:07 特朗普封口费案的来龙去脉

00:29:30 特朗普遭遇暗杀未遂事件的影响

00:34:12 拜登退选与民主党的权力交接

00:48:20 副总统候选人万斯和沃尔兹的选择

00:52:50 经济议题：通胀、就业与选民感受的复杂性

01:01:25 移民议题与社会分化

01:12:39 堕胎权之争：从罗伊诉韦德案到现在

01:19:16 这次大选对美国民主制度的影响

01:26:33 七大摇摆州的选情分析：从蓝墙到阳光带

01:37:40 计票规则解读：为何结果可能需要等待数天

01:40:05 国会选举展望：参众两院的微妙平衡

01:44:16 问答

【我们是谁】

美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。

我们的主播和嘉宾：

小华：媒体人，美政观察者

Lokin：美国法学院毕业生，即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师

王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子

曹起曈：青椒，政治行为研究者

主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。

【 What We Talked About】

For those who are just tuning into the 2024 election discourse, your mental health is probably much better than our hosts – who have been breathlessly tracking every development for the past year. As the election day approaches, we have distilled all of the pivotal moments and critical issues that have defined this madhouse of a cycle - from Biden’s unexpected withdrawal to Kamala’s ascension, from partisan narratives on the state of the economy and immigration. Each flashpoint illuminates the deepening chasm of American society.

As the battleground state odds remain locked in a coin toss, we try to ponder the fundamental questions: will this election yet again reshape American politics? How to bridge the chasm between the escalating social divisions? Why do the economic indicators tell different stories to the two parties? And as the two-party ecosystem grows increasingly polarized and social fabric continues to fray, what trials await America's democratic institutions?

【Support Us】

If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:

Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io

Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette

Business Inquiries and fan mail: [e-mail]

【Timeline】

00:01:12 Last-minute primer: why this election demands our attention

00:09:07 Trump hush money case: untangling the complex web

00:29:30 Implications of the attempted assassination on Trump

00:34:12 Biden's withdrawal and the democratic power transition

00:48:20 VP picks: a closer look at Vance and Walz

00:52:50 The economy: navigating inflation, employment, and voter sentiment

01:01:25 Immigration and social fractures: America's deepening divide

01:12:39 The abortion battle: from Roe v. Wade to present day

01:19:16 Impact on American democracy: examining institutional resilience

01:26:33 Battleground analysis: from the blue wall to the sun belt

01:37:40 Vote counting explained: why results may take a week

01:40:05 Congressional outlook: the delicate balance in both chambers

01:44:16 Q & A

【Who We Are】

The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.

Our Hosts and Guests:

小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer

Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer

王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information

曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): Assistant professor at the Tufts Fletcher School

The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions.

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