Global perspectives and local insights from our investment teams. © 2023 Franklin Templeton https://www.franklintempletonglobal.com/franklintempletonglobal/legal-info
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Anatomy of a Recession Update: Outlook 2025—Will US Exceptionalism Continue?
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In this special episode, ClearBridge Investments' colleagues, Jeff Schulze and Josh Jamner, discuss their base case for the US economy and equity markets in 2025.
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Anatomy of a Recession Update: What we don’t know about tariff plans
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With US elections now behind us, we sit down with Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments to get his thoughts on the new political landscape, the potential for higher tariffs on imports and the implications for the US equity market.
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Anatomy of a Recession Update: The case for economic reacceleration
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We speak with Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments about the health of the US consumer and equity market, and get an update on the Recession Risk Dashboard.
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Anatomy of a Recession Update: Speaking of the election
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With the US presidential election approaching, we sit down with Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments to get his thoughts on the four election outcomes and their potential impact on government spending, tax changes, trade policy and overall the US economy.
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Anatomy of a Recession Update: Economy’s health holds steady
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Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments joins us to give an update on the Recession Risk Dashboard and shares which indicators to keep an eye on for next month. He also provides his perspective on the recent selloffs in the equity market and the potential for some choppiness leading up to the US election.…
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Anatomy of a Recession Update: Economic growth ahead?
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We speak with Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments about the dramatic improvement within the Recession Risk Dashboard, delving into the individual indicator changes. And, he shares his thoughts on when we may see a Fed rate cut and addresses concerns about US equity valuations.
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Global Investment Management Survey: Our collective forecast
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Chris Galipeau, senior market strategist from the Franklin Templeton Institute joins us to share some key takeaways from the 2024 mid-year release of Franklin Templeton's Global Investment Management Survey.
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Anatomy of a Recession Update: Profit margins and credit spreads improve
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In May, the Recession Risk Dashboard saw two individual indicator upgrades, including a move from yellow to green. We speak with ClearBridge Investments' Jeff Schulze about the positive momentum we've seen in the dashboard and get his perspective on the current global landscape.
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Anatomy of a Recession Update: A wait-and-see Fed
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Continued progress in the ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard saw the wage growth indicator move from red to yellow. Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments shares his views on what that move could mean for investors, how many Fed rate cuts we may see this year, and the potential market implications of the upcoming US presidential election.…
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Anatomy of a Recession Update: What's different about this cycle?
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Jeff Schulze, Head of Economic and Market Strategy at ClearBridge Investments, joins us to discuss the updated ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard, which has seen some progress underneath the surface despite not having any indicator changes. And, he shares his views on US equities and the impact of the Magnificent Seven.…
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Anatomy of a Recession Update: Soft landing chances rise
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In the latest release of the ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard, we’ve seen that a particular indicator upgrade was enough to change the overall dashboard—going from red recession to yellow caution—the first time that it’s been yellow since August of 2022. We speak with Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments about this change and his current bas…
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Anatomy of a Recession update: Changes in our dashboard
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The latest January release of the ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard shows another indicator move from red to yellow. Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments shares his insights on what this could mean for the recession outlook in the US and the overall state of the economy.
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Anatomy of a Recession Update: New Year, New Dynamic
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As 2024 kicks off, we sit down with ClearBridge Investment's Jeff Schulze for an update on the Recession Risk Dashboard that has recently seen some indicator moves from red to yellow, and learn whether recent US economic and labor data has impacted his views on the likelihood of a soft landing.
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Anatomy of a Recession Update: The Fed’s Next Moves, Anticipating ‘24
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A review of recent US inflation data, the Recession Risk Dashboard, and thoughts on if we've reached the peak in the fed funds rate. Join us for this conversation with Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments.
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Anatomy of a Recession Update: How Long Will Consumers Keep Spending?
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We speak with ClearBridge Investments’ Jeff Schulze about a topic on many investor's minds: the 10-year US Treasury yield and the path of monetary policy. He also shares his views on the latest US retail sales data and whether the consumer resilience will last into 2024.
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Anatomy of a Recession Update: Threats to a Soft Landing
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With lots of chatter in the US around the potential for a soft landing, we speak with Jeff Schulze, Head of Economic and Market Strategy at ClearBridge Investments, about his thoughts on the matter and the overall state of the US economy.
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Anatomy of a Recession Update: What Is a Recession, Exactly?
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Hear from Jeff Schulze, Head of Economic and Market Strategy at ClearBridge Investments, about the state of the US economy. Get his perspective on the Federal Reserve’s next potential moves.
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Anatomy of a Recession Update: Cracks in the Foundation
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Get perspective on the most recent US economic data, the investor’s view, and how reviewing previous recessionary periods may help us today, in this conversation with Jeff Schulze, Head of Economic and Market Research at ClearBridge Investments.
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Anatomy of a Recession Update: Gradually, Then Suddenly
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In this episode, we speak with Jeff Schulze, head of economic and market research at ClearBridge Investments about the Federal Reserve, rolling sector recessions, artificial intelligence, and receive the latest update on the ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard.
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Anatomy of a Recession Update: US Labor Market Cracks Emerging?
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In this conversation with Jeff Schulze, head of economic and market research at ClearBridge Investments, we focus on the US employment market and consumption, receive an update on the ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard, and discuss the on-again, off-again, soft-landing narrative.
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Anatomy of a Recession Update: The Dominoes Are Falling
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Jeff Schulze, head of economic and market research at ClearBridge Investments, provides us with an update on the Recession Risk Dashboard, a current view of those lagged effects, and perspective on Q1 earnings. In addition: the debt ceiling and perspective on the outcome of the FOMC meeting.
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Anatomy of a Recession: The Lagged Effects of Rate Hikes Have Started
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A review of the US economy with Jeff Schulze, investment strategist at ClearBridge Investments, focusing on the most anticipated recession in history. Is it here? What signs are beginning to appear? And how deep will it be?
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Anatomy of a Recession: Economic Reacceleration in Perspective
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A review of the US economy with focus on inflation, and whether a recession is likely this year with Jeff Schulze, investment strategist at ClearBridge Investments.
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Anatomy of a Recession: The Fed’s Job Problem
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A review of the United States economy with focus on the Federal Reserve, labor, and housing with Jeff Schulze, investment strategist at ClearBridge Investments.
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US Financial Services Policies Shift to Rules, Regulations, and Executive Actions
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Drew Carrington, Head of Institutional DC at Franklin Templeton, discusses the implications of the 2022 US midterm elections for investors with Dean Sackett from Polaris Capital and Dan Murphy and Andy Lewin from the BGR Group.
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Anatomy of a Recession: The Long View for a New Year
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We meet with regular guest, Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments, to discuss the US economy—focusing on inflation, the US labor market, and the Federal Reserve.
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Anatomy of a Recession: Interpreting Mixed Economic Signals
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A look at the United States economy with a focus on labor, home sales and corporate profits with Jeff Schulze, investment strategist at ClearBridge Investments.
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Anatomy of a Recession: Remain Patient Amid Market Gyrations
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We discuss with ClearBridge Investments’ Jeff Schulze, the potential economic and market impacts of the US midterm elections, get perspective on the Fed action against inflation, and review the current ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard.
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Anatomy of a Recession: Focusing on the Fed
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We speak with Jeff Schulze, Investment Strategist at ClearBridge Investments and architect of their Anatomy of a Recession program, about how the Federal Reserve’s latest moves are impacting the odds of a recession in the US. Plus, what it would take for the Fed to reverse course and make a dovish pivot. And, how much is a recession already baked i…
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Investing in Innovation: Impacts of Market Volatility and Shocks
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Franklin Equity Group’s Renee Anderson and Matt Moberg cover investing in innovation during market volatility. We hear how business fundamentals and valuations look right now. Plus, from electric vehicles and renewable energy, to the metaverse, blockchain and more—a breakdown of which innovation themes have the most upside and challenges.…
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Increasing Yields: Strategy Shifts for Income Investors
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Rapidly changing economic and market conditions could lead to a shift in strategy for income investors. Ed Perks, chief investment officer of Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions, breaks down the macro environment and shares the fixed income sectors he believes are now attractive, in this conversation with our Josh Greco.…
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Anatomy of a Recession: Deteriorating Economic Conditions with Continuing Bear Market
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How deteriorating economic conditions make a US recession more likely. Plus, is a so-called soft-landing still even possible? And, a look at data from previous bear markets for clues on how long this one may last, and whether the S&P 500 has already hit bottom. Talking about it all is Jeff Schulze, Investment Strategist at ClearBridge Investments a…
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Looking Beneath the Surface of Monetary Policy Tightening
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Thought leaders from Franklin Templeton and our Specialist Investment Managers discuss how the largest Fed hike in nearly three decades, along with the possibility of subsequent significant hikes, could impact US markets and the economy. Plus, which developed and emerging markets face the most challenging economic and investing environments. And, w…
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Making the Case for Municipal Bonds Despite Recent Volatility
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While inflation and rising interest rates are putting pressure on the municipal bond market, the environment for investors seeking income and other benefits from munis may be setting up well for the second half of the year and beyond. Talking about it all is Ben Barber, Director of Municipal Bonds with Franklin Templeton Fixed Income, and Josh Grec…
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Making Sense of the Recent Market Selloffs
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Putting the selloff in equity markets in perspective. Why the pendulum has shifted so strongly negative, and is there any bottom in sight? Plus, where investors looking for diversification could go, beyond equities and fixed income. And, a cautionary tale about cryptocurrencies. Talking about it all is our Wylie Tollette and Stephen Dover.…
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Anatomy of a Recession: Why a US Recession is Unlikely Near Term
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Jeff Schulze, Investment Strategist at ClearBridge Investments and architect of ClearBridge’s Anatomy of a Recession program, provides his views on why growing fears of a US recession may be overblown, at least near-term.
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Uncertainty Leads to Caution: Adjusting Investment Strategies While Taking Down Risk
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With uncertainty mounting on many fronts globally, we hear how investment strategies are changing with a focus on taking risk down, while still identifying investment opportunities. Our Head of the Franklin Templeton Institute, Stephen Dover, talks about it all with Gene Podkaminer, Head of Research for Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions, Fran…
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Are Central Banks Too Late to Tackle Inflation?
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Can the Fed play catch-up and reverse rising inflation in the United States? Or, could growth actually slow on its own, so less action is needed? Plus, an inversion in the US Treasury yield curve usually is a recession warning, but hear why that may not be the case, at least for this year. Sonal Desai, Chief Investment Officer of Franklin Templeton…
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Oil’s Wild Ride: Have Prices Peaked?
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The wild ride up and back down for oil prices. Have oil prices peaked, along with gasoline? Or, will we see further rises in oil and prices at the pump? Plus, what’s being done to ramp up oil production globally. And, how many different grades of oil around the world make the situation even more challenging. Stephen Dover, Head of the Franklin Temp…
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Global Economic and Market Impacts of Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine
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Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has led to a humanitarian crisis and new geopolitical concerns, while also affecting global economies and capital markets around the world. Talking about it all with our Stephen Dover is Kim Catechis from the Franklin Templeton Investment Institute; Andreas Billmeier, European Economist with Western Asset, Scott Glasser…
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Fixed Income - What the Curve is Saying
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With higher rates appearing inevitable, fixed income investors must weigh a range of maturities, sectors and credit quality along the yield curve, including low duration strategies less exposed to rate hikes. Plus, how inflation and policy decisions fit into the equation. And, where there could be opportunity at the shorter end of the yield curve. …
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Market Volatility: Will it Last?
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Volatility dominated equity and fixed income markets to start 2022. What’s behind it and how long will it last? Plus, a look at investment opportunities that could arise in this environment. Putting it all in perspective with our Stephen Dover is Mark Lindbloom of Western Asset and Scott Glasser of ClearBridge Investments.…
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Inflation: A Passing Phase or Major Threat
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Sonal Desai, Chief Investment Officer, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income, and John Bellows, Portfolio Manager, Western Asset join the Head of the Franklin Templeton Investment Institute, Stephen Dover to debate whether inflation is a passing phase or a longer-term threat. Plus, how inflation outlooks could lead to opportunities for fixed income inves…
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Anatomy of a Recession: Changing Conditions but US Economy Remains Strong
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Jeff Schulze, Investment Strategist at ClearBridge Investments, provides his latest look at the health of the US economy. We hear about the number one factor driving consumer sentiment down to recessionary levels, three reasons why inflation may not last long term, and what may lie ahead after the Federal Reserve begins to taper and raise interest …
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A Tale of Two Real Estate Markets: US and China
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Tracy Chen, Portfolio Manager with Brandywine Global, and Tim Wang, Head of Investment Research for Clarion Partners, join Head of the Franklin Templeton Investment Institute, Stephen Dover, to take a closer look at how the pandemic has had a major impact on real estate markets, and what it could mean for real estate investors in the US and China.…
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Positioning for 2022: Tracking Inflation, Rates, Growth & Valuations
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Ed Perks, CIO of Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions and Gene Podkaminer, Head of Research for Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions, discuss with Stephen Dover, head of the Franklin Templeton Investment Institute, cross-asset class allocation views and implementation ideas for 2022, considering growth, inflation, rates, and valuation.…
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Bill Zox and John McClain, portfolio managers with Brandywine Global, join Amer Hasan to discuss how current market and economic conditions could benefit high yield investors, the opportunities and risks right now, and why the asset class is often overlooked or misunderstood.
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Global Macro Views: Mounting Economic and Investment Variables
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Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab and Director of Global Macro Research for Brandywine, Francis Scotland, speak with our Stephen Dover about the direction of China, variables that could determine whether labor and inflation concerns will last more long-term, what may be driving energy prices up, beyond just supply and demand, and views o…
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Debating the Next Moves for Inflation, Growth and Rates
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Sonal Desai, CIO, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income; John Bellows, PM, Western Asset; and Gene Podkaminer, Head of Research, Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions, join the head of the Franklin Templeton Investment Institute, Stephen Dover to debate the next moves for inflation, growth and rates, and the challenge of positioning portfolios for a va…
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Anatomy of A Recession: Looking Ahead To 2022
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Hear from Jeff Schulze, Investment Strategist at ClearBridge Investments about the Federal Reserve’s timetable for tightening, slow growth, the COVID-19 Delta variant, and the resilience of the US consumer. He explains how all of these variants are factored into determining the risk of recession along with the investment implications.…
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