Highlights: #200 – Ezra Karger on what superforecasters and experts think about existential risks

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This is a selection of highlights from episode #200 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast. These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:

Ezra Karger on what superforecasters and experts think about existential risks

And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected].

Highlights:

Luisa’s intro (00:00:00)
Why we need forecasts about existential risks (00:00:26)
Headline estimates of existential and catastrophic risks (00:02:43)
What explains disagreements about AI risks? (00:06:18)
Learning more doesn't resolve disagreements about AI risks (00:08:59)
A lot of disagreement about AI risks is about when AI will pose risks (00:11:31)
Cruxes about AI risks (00:15:17)
Is forecasting actually useful in the real world? (00:18:24)

Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong

110 episod

#Society #Podcasting Education #Self-Improvement #Documentaries #Rob Wiblin and Keiran Harris #000 Hours #Effective Altruism #80000 Hours #Impactful Careers #Existential Risk