Podcast terbaik Global Security (2025)

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Ukraine-Russia update; tin and metals; Pacific cyclones and more 56:27

2d ago56:27

56:27

The final Briefing of 2025 features Factal editor James Morgan with an update on Ukraine-Russia. What's the state of the ground war, the drone war, the hybrid war and peace talks? That's the first 20 minutes. Then Kieran O'Leary from Emergent Risk International presents five things ERI is tracking. That includes why tin prices may be an indicator o…

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A New US Approach to the Caspian Region? 48:11

10d ago48:11

48:11

Dr Eric Rudenshiold joins Neil Melvin to examine regional change, great-power competition and Washington's renewed engagement within the Caspian region. The Caspian region is being reshaped by new political and economic dynamics as Central Asia and the South Caucasus deepen regional cooperation and navigate the competing ambitions of Russia, China …

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The UK in a Changing World: A Conversation with Professor John Bew 52:55

24d ago52:55

52:55

Professor John Bew joins Neil Melvin to reflect on the UK's evolving global role, strategic reviews, and how Britain can navigate an era of geopolitical upheaval. Over the past decade, the United Kingdom has faced a rapidly transforming global environment marked by the rise of revisionist powers, economic disruption and the erosion of the post-Cold…

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Tanzania, Cameroon, Mali, Nigeria and Iraq - what the analyst needs to know 49:15

30d ago49:15

49:15

In this Global Security Briefing Factal editor Sarah Burke and Emergent Risk International analyst Cameron Evers dive deep into four nations in Africa's unique situations, how they got there and what the business intelligence professional needs to pay attention to next. Kieran O'Leary wrapped up with a preview for Iraq's election. As always, the Br…

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The Return of America First: US Power and Influence in Latin America 46:33

1M ago46:33

46:33

Trump's revived 'America First' policy is reshaping US-Latin America ties, testing regional stability, governance and the balance between Washington, Beijing, and Moscow. Nearly a year into his second term, President Trump has revived the 'America First' doctrine with a renewed focus on the Western Hemisphere. As Washington prioritises border secur…

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Venezuela-U.S. scenarios; APEC meeting; China-Netherlands chip dispute; gaming v. simulations for learning 57:01

1M ago57:01

57:01

Producer Dave Clark from Factal delivered an abbreviated version of his GSX presentation on using games for learning as opposed to longer simulations. The Director of Analysis at ERI, Kieran O’Leary, then discussed various scenarios involving Venezuela and the U.S. He also explained the dispute between China and the Netherlands around a chip manufa…

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Taiwan's Strategic Balancing Act Amid US-China Tensions 44:48

2M ago44:48

44:48

Can Taipei maintain stability amid great power competition? Taiwan is facing rising Chinese pressure and increasingly uncertain US backing. As cross-strait tensions intensify, the central question for Taipei is whether it can maintain its delicate status quo. In this episode of Global Security Briefing, Neil Melvin is joined by Dr Philip Shetler-Jo…

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Episode 20 - ECC, Smart Grids, and Physical Sabotage 38:09

2M ago38:09

38:09

This episode is a deep dive into the mathematics, implementation, and vulnerabilities of modern digital security, focusing on the powerful role of Elliptic Curve Cryptography (ECC). ECC has largely superseded older algorithms like RSA because of its superior efficiency, providing equivalent security strength with significantly shorter keys, a cruci…

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Episode 19 - Systemic Security Failures and the Cyber-Physical War 42:15

2M ago42:15

42:15

This episode explores the core mechanisms, failures, and threats related to modern digital security, moving from mathematical foundations to real-world cyber warfare. The foundation of secure communication relies on cryptography, which is broadly split into symmetric ciphers (like AES) for high-speed confidentiality, and asymmetric ciphers (like RS…

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Episode 18 - Code Flaws, Metadata Wars, and Nation-State Cyber Warfare 43:34

2M ago43:34

43:34

This episode dives into the true state of digital security by examining the fundamental building blocks of cryptography, their inherent vulnerabilities, and the systemic threats that compromise them. The foundation of secure communication relies on ciphers like the symmetric Triple DES (3DES), which bought time by increasing the effective key size …

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Episode 17 - Beyond the Math: Dissecting Crypto's Achilles' Heel 35:34

2M ago35:34

35:34

This episode investigates the most common causes of cryptographic system failure, highlighting that the true vulnerability lies not in broken math, but in flawed engineering and implementation errors. Modern cryptographic algorithms like AES and RSA are mathematically robust, but they are often undermined by common software bugs, such as buffer ove…

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Episode 16 - The Irony of Crypto: Why Key Management Causes Massive Data Breaches 27:54

2M ago27:54

27:54

This episode explores the central irony of cryptography: while the underlying mathematical algorithms are incredibly strong, most real-world data breaches occur due to poor key management and implementation flaws. The consensus among security experts is that the theoretical strength of modern ciphers like AES or RSA is sound, but this technical rob…

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Episode 15 - The Math, The Mallory, and the Mode Misuse 40:58

2M ago40:58

40:58

This episode examines why even mathematically strong cryptographic systems often fail in the real world, concluding that the primary vulnerabilities stem not from broken math, but from implementation flaws, misuse of modes, and flawed protocol design. The security of any system must be viewed as a chain, where the core cryptographic algorithm is on…

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Episode 14 - Crypto-Agility Nightmare: Why Trillions of Systems Can't Easily Swap Keys 40:25

2M ago40:25

40:25

This episode focuses on the immense, often-overlooked logistical challenge of maintaining security and achieving crypto-agility across trillions of interconnected systems, even without a catastrophic future threat. The foundations of digital trust were revolutionized by Public Key Cryptography (PKC), with RSA becoming the initial standard for encry…

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Episode 13 - Why Bad Code, Not Broken Math, Is the Real Security Threat 36:15

2M ago36:15

36:15

This episode argues that the biggest threat to digital security is not broken cryptography math, but implementation flaws and bad code written by humans. The mathematical foundations of modern cryptography, such as RSA's reliance on factoring large numbers and AES's diffusion and confusion properties, are fundamentally strong and buy defenders time…

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Episode 12 - Cryptography and Systemic Cyber Defense 33:01

2M ago33:01

33:01

This episode explores the new frontiers in cryptography, focusing on tools that allow functionality and secure collaboration without revealing underlying data. This advanced field is formalized as Secure Multi-Party Computation (MPC), with the objective of allowing multiple parties to jointly compute a function based on their private inputs while m…

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Episode 11 - Zero-Knowledge, Quantum Chaos, and Unmanageable Complexity 27:14

2M ago27:14

27:14

This episode dives into advanced cryptography and the foundations of digital security, starting with the counter-intuitive concept of Zero-Knowledge Proofs (ZKPs), which allow a system to prove a fact, like a valid request or knowing a password, without revealing the sensitive underlying data. The core idea of ZKPs and blind signatures is to establ…

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Episode 10 - The Bit, The Seed, and the Paradox of Data Flow 32:37

2M ago32:37

32:37

This episode begins by exploring the cryptographic ideal of unconditional security, which is only truly achieved by the theoretical One-Time Pad (OTP), a cipher that is mathematically unbreakable. The impracticality of the OTP lies in the difficulty of creating, distributing, and securely managing a perfectly random, one-time key as long as the mes…

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Episode 9 - From Stuxnet to ECC 27:41

2M ago27:41

27:41

This episode delves into the deep ambiguity and complexity of cyber conflict, using the Stuxnet malware attack as a pivotal case study that highlighted the vulnerability of critical infrastructure. Stuxnet demonstrated the risk of integrity attacks, where the goal is not to steal data, but to manipulate physical processes, such as causing nuclear c…

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Episode 8 - Code, Keys, and Chaos 36:22

2M ago36:22

36:22

This episode tackles the complex problem of software supply chain security, where trust must be established across a long chain of potentially vulnerable steps, from development to deployment. The core challenge is the lack of transparency about what actually happens to code between the programmer's keyboard and the end user's system. The proposed …

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Episode 7 - Unreliability is Insecurity 39:44

2M ago39:44

39:44

This episode asserts that unreliability is fundamental insecurity and that the best security posture isn't about preventing every attack, but building a foundation of resilience to survive compromise. This foundational work starts with strong cryptography, which is often brittle; for instance, the security of a cryptographic system relies on unpred…

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Episode 6 - Defensive Crypto Decoded 31:54

2M ago31:54

31:54

This episode focuses on defensive cryptography, moving beyond mere confidentiality to explore the essential safeguards needed for data integrity, key management, and robust system architecture. The session begins by highlighting that encryption alone is insufficient for security; weak historical practices like simple password encryption failed beca…

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Episode 5 - The Designer's Mind 38:09

2M ago38:09

38:09

This episode dissects the "designer's mind," focusing on why secure cryptographic algorithms often fail in the real world due to subtle implementation blunders and design flaws, rather than mathematical weaknesses. Cryptography relies on hard math problems, like factoring and discrete logarithms, which are computationally infeasible to reverse with…

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Episode 4 - PKI, Quantum Threats, and the Configuration Crisis 29:23

2M ago29:23

29:23

This episode takes a deep dive into the Public Key Infrastructure (PKI), the mathematical bedrock of digital trust, starting with asymmetric cryptography which uses public and private key pairs to solve the problem of securely sharing a secret key. Because asymmetric algorithms like RSA are computationally slow, they are paired with much faster sym…

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Episode 3 - The Secret History of Encryption, Power, and the Race for Digital Keys 35:14

2M ago35:14

35:14

This episode traces the history of cryptography through three major shifts, highlighting the constant arms race between code-makers and code-breakers. The first shift was from simple manual substitution ciphers to mechanized secrecy, perfectly embodied by the Enigma machine. Enigma achieved its massive complexity through rotating scramblers and a r…

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Episode 2 - Cryptography's Engineering of Trust 45:03

2M ago45:03

45:03

This episode explores the core principles of cryptography, emphasizing that true security is rooted not just in strong math but in meticulous engineering and key management. The efficiency of modern encryption largely relies on symmetric ciphers like AES and 3DES, which use the same secret key for both encryption and decryption. A critical challeng…

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Episode 1 - The Protocol Paradox in Cryptography and System Security 34:54

2M ago34:54

34:54

This episode dives into the Protocol Paradox, which states that the security of systems built on the mathematical bedrock of cryptography is constantly undermined by flaws in the implementation and surrounding processes. Cryptographic algorithms are theoretically strong because they rely on computationally hard math problems, but successful attacks…

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Trailer - Secure Math Collapses in the Real World 5:04

2M ago5:04

5:04

This episode explores the significant gap between the theoretical security of cryptography, based on complex mathematics like modular arithmetic and computationally hard problems, and the messy reality of real-world digital security. Cryptographic algorithms are tested against theoretical attacks, aiming to make it mathematically impossible to reve…

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U.S. gov. shutdown, platform agnostic sourcing, five things 49:09

2M ago49:09

49:09

The briefing starts with Iman Elbanna from Emergent Risk International talking about the expanding business impacts from the the U.S. government shutdown, with what to watch for if it continues. Iman then continues with five other things ERI is watching -- including the Israel-Hamas ceasefire agreement, France's government crisis, and U.S. National…

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Trump's Stalled Peace Push and the Future of the Ukraine War 44:17

2M ago44:17

44:17

As the end of the fourth year of the Russia-Ukraine war approaches, questions mount over President Trump's peace efforts and shifting international dynamics. In this episode of Global Security Briefing, Neil Melvin is joined by Andriy Zagorodnyuk, a former Ukrainian Minister of Defence and now Chairman of the Centre for Defence Strategies in Kyiv, …

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H1B changes, 'Russian' drones, South Asia straw hat revolution 45:53

2M ago45:53

45:53

Factal APAC lead Vivian Wang is back with an expansion on the South and Southeast Asia protests and youth uprisings as they expand into East Timor and the Philippines. One aspect carrying over through the region is the connection to popular anime series One Piece. Emergent Risk International Director of Analysis Kieran O'Leary follows that with thi…

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Turkey's Balancing Act: Prospects for Stabilisation in Syria and Iraq 58:43

3M ago58:43

58:43

Can Turkey act as a stabilising force in Syria and Iraq, or are its policies driven by short-term security concerns? As Ankara seeks to navigate the shifting geopolitical landscape of the Middle East, its approach to Syria and Iraq has become a key test of its regional influence. In this episode of Global Security Briefing, Neil Melvin is joined by…

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France political crisis; Nepal political crisis; Charlie Kirk killing; Russia drone incursions; Israel airstrike in Qatar 48:55

3M ago48:55

48:55

To paraphrase usual host Kieran O'Leary, everything is a polycrisis because every crisis overlaps. This week's Global Security Briefing touches on political crises in France and Nepal, what security teams and businesses should be aware of after the Charlie Kirk killing, what to watch for after Russian drones flew over Poland, the recent airstrike b…

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The UK's 2025 Carrier Strike Group Deployment and Britain's Indo-Pacific Tilt. 48:25

3M ago48:25

48:25

The Royal Navy Fleet flagship in Asia prompts a critical question: How serious is Britain about the Indo-Pacific? Against a backdrop of deepening UK - Japan defence and economic ties, shifting US engagement, and growing regional security pressures, this episode of Global Security Briefing explores what the HMS Prince of Wales' 2025 mission reveals …

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1.20 Global Intelligence Update 03/09/25 13:15

3M ago13:15

13:15

This comprehensive intelligence analysis update presents a detailed assessment of the evolving global security landscape as of September 3, 2025, drawing from multiple sources across diverse regions and threat domains. The current security environment is characterised by unprecedented complexity, with traditional state-based threats converging with…

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1.19 Thematic Focus The 2025 Irish Presidential Election 9:59

3M ago9:59

9:59

Intelligence Assessment: The 2025 Irish Presidential Election As Ireland approaches its tenth presidential election since independence, the country faces a significant political transition with the conclusion of Michael D. Higgins' transformative 14-year presidency. The upcoming election, scheduled for late October 2025, occurs against a backdrop o…

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AI jobs impact; realistic AI images & video; China exit detentions; five things from ERI 54:22

3M ago54:22

54:22

This edition of the Briefing starts with Factal Chief Product Officer talking about the employment impacts of generative AI (some job fields are down for entry level positions). He then explores the latest in generative imagery and video, focusing on how the latest advancements will challenge risk intelligence and journalism. Kieran O'Leary shares …

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Trump's war on Latin America's drug cartels; National Guard deployment in Washington, D.C.; Look ahead at the World Cup 48:42

4M ago48:42

48:42

This edition of the Global Security Briefing starts with Factal examining Trump's war on Latin America's drug cartels. Irene Villora, Factal's LATAM editorial lead, discusses the Trump administration's alleged order to use military force, Mexico's response, the expansion of surveillance, and potential implications. Cameron Evers, Deputy Director of…

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Europe's fire season; Thai-Cambodia border dispute; NYC corporate shooting 45:20

4M ago45:20

45:20

This edition of the Global Security Briefing starts with Factal looking at Europe's fire season. Dave Clark goes over the nations with the most fires, urban areas threatened so far, and what the near-term prognosis is after more than twice the forested area burned in 2025 compared to the 20-year average. Kieran O'Leary, Director of Intelligence and…

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Does the Trump Administration Have an Indo-Pacific Security Strategy? 48:26

5M ago48:26

48:26

Tensions in the Indo-Pacific are testing US power and alliances. What does this mean for regional strategy and for the UK? In this episode of Global Security Briefing, host Neil Melvin is joined by Dr. Kori Schake, senior fellow and the director of foreign and defence policy studies at the American Enterprise Institute, and Dr Philip Shetler-Jones,…

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Syria; Ukraine-Russia 41:59

5M ago41:59

41:59

This week's Global Security Briefing covered the recent violence in Sweida, Syria hosted by Factal editor Agnese Boffano. Then Emergent Risk International analyst Hannah Poppy presented on the removal of U.S. sanctions on Syria, plus the remaining economic concerns in the nation. Vassilis Benopoulos from ERI finished the briefing with an updated on…

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Have the Recent Conflicts Transformed the Middle East? 55:49

5M ago55:49

55:49

Open warfare has crossed the Middle East, and in its wake came an erosion of the norms of statesmanship and the power of international law to avert conflict. What are the implications for deterrence, diplomacy, and the future of UK, US, and regional strategy? In this episode of Global Security Briefing, host Neil Melvin is joined by RUSI experts Bu…

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How Should the UK Approach European Security? 48:17

5M ago48:17

48:17

How is the UK's Labour government approaching European security, and how does this compare to the Conservatives? In this episode of Global Security Briefing, host Neil Melvin is joined by Professor Richard Whitman to examine how much has changed since Labour came to power. The UK is currently setting a path to navigate an uncertain world in a serie…

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Israel-Iran; U.S. political violence and protests 59:27

6M ago59:27

59:27

Together Factal and Emergent Risk International bring you up to Thursday morning's news on the conflict then they tell you what editors are watching for and what businesses should pay attention. Then ERI talks about the protests and political violence in the United States. Our next Briefing is July 17. Since the earliest days of COVID, Factal and E…

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Can Russia-Ukraine Negotiations to End the War Succeed? 40:18

6M ago40:18

40:18

Is there a real near-term prospect of an end of Russia's war against Ukraine? RUSI experts explain four and a half months of the Trump Administration's approach to the war. In this episode of Global Security Briefing, host Neil Melvin is joined by Professor Samuel Greene, who teaches Russian politics at King's College and is a senior fellow at the …

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2025 hurricane season; Ukraine-Russia war and peace (talks); South Korea's new government 1:02:53

6M ago1:02:53

1:02:53

First up Factal NORAM lead Joe talks about what went wrong with Hurricane Helene last year, this year's hurricane season forecast and the challenge of staffing shortages in NOAA and FEMA. Then Emergent Risk International Director of Analysis Kieran brings us up to speed on Ukraine's drone strike, Russia's asymmetric warfare and the chance for peace…

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Can Illiberal Peace Bring Stability to the Middle East? 48:23

6M ago48:23

48:23

Can Peace Without Democracy Work? RUSI experts discuss the rise of illiberal peacebuilding in the Middle East and what it means for UK foreign policy. In this episode of Global Security Briefing, host Neil Melvin is joined by RUSI Senior Research Fellow for Middle East Security Dr. Burcu Ozcelik, Dr Claire Smith, Deputy Associate Dean for the Facul…

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The Rise of a Fragmented and Contested World 40:05

7M ago40:05

40:05

GSB turns 100: RUSI experts look back on key security shifts and explore what's next for the UK in a rapidly changing global landscape. In this special 100th episode of Global Security Briefing, host Neil Melvin is joined by the RUSI International Security team to reflect on how global security has evolved since the podcast's launch in 2021. Record…

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India-Pakistan airstrikes and business impacts; a light interlude on Australian elections; tariffs confounding everyone, including business 52:26

7M ago52:26

52:26

Hi all! Usually Producer Dave writes these episode descriptions, but he's on vacation and I (Tyler) am recapping this - apologies that there's not the professional intro music, I don't know what drawer Dave keeps it in. This was a heater; Sachin Singh joins past midnight India time to answer lots of questions on India-Pakistan's big escalation. Kie…

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Tren de Aragua; France prison attacks; early tornado season; six more things to watch 58:46

8M ago58:46

58:46

April 2025 is busy. Tornado season started early. There's conflict brewing in South Asia. France has new terror attacks. Geopolitics happens in real-time. Tren de Aragua is getting more attention in the US than ever. Emergent Risk International and Factal tell you the foundations, the current events and what to watch for around them moving forward …

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